See also the main article on Washington, for documented election integrity issues and further reports.
Former US military intelligence officer and statistical analyst Seth Keshel analyzed the trends of voter registrations versus actual votes. The following report indicates which counties’ vote counts align with the trend in voter registrations and which have small or large divergences. Each county is flagged as red, yellow, or green, based on whether the 2020 vote totals aligned with the expected trends (as past decades demonstrate they typically do), or if they diverged in statistically unlikely ways.
|Trump votes||Biden votes||Other votes|
|Officially reported results||1584651 (38.77%)||2369612 (57.97%)||133257 (3.26%)|
|Estimate of potential fraud||333000 (8.1%)|
|Estimate of actual result
(with fraud removed)
|1584651 (42.2%)||2036612 (54.2%)||133257 (3.5%)|
Washington has a violent, large city generating large Trump vote gains in suburbs and heavy white working class coalition shifts around state in fishing and timber industries. How did Trump gain 363k votes and get knocked back another 4% after 2008/2012/2016 Republican nominees couldn’t get out of 1.2 million vote range?
Based on predictive trends, there’s an estimated 228k excess Biden votes before counting King County, led by:
Washington Republicans and Democrats bled a lot to third parties in 2016 so I’ve been generous to Biden total for 2020 and am likely too favorable to him. For King County, there’s an estimated 105k excess from just available trends, not accounting for past “engineering” of county. If correct, there’s an estimated 333k excess statewide votes and accurate Biden margin to be +12.0%, only considering excess votes.
Best audit targets are Clark, Spokane, Yakima, Chelan, and Pierce.
Possible Voter Roll Manipulation
There are other states with bloated rolls, like Florida and Texas. Colorado doesn’t show much movement in the two parties but tons of new registered indies/others, along with Washington and Oregon. Pennsylvania and North Carolina appear to have let their party rolls run clean, showing a tremendous beating getting ready to be done by Trump, but pulled things off differently.
There appears to be a lot of phantom voters on the rolls – fake records.
Clallam County: The Only True Bellwether?
As Seth has noted, Clallam county is the only bellwether county that voted for Biden in 2020. But even this county looks suspect when you look at the numbers more closely:
In 2008 Obama won convincingly, but in 2012 and 2016 the Democrats lost votes. Then they had a big change of mind and decided to vote for Biden in 2020. Really? Also, the turnout increase (10K) on the previous election is uncharacteristically huge.
Washington State Audit Updates
Seth met with elected officials in Washington state on Sunday 15 August, 2021:
“Tonight, rolled right up into one of the most corrupt states in the union and worked with some of the best and brightest to shine light in Washington.
“Special thanks to some courageous Washington conservative elected officials, Jovan, Glen M., Tam, and Kasey E., and others, for your hard work in putting everything on.”
Seth appears at the 32min mark in the following video:
Seth Keshel’s estimates are based on the percentage of voters who are registered to each party (where it’s possible to obtain this information) compared to the actual votes for each party. He examined these party trends over the last two decades, as well as population growth, which brought to light the strange and statistically unlikely outliers and anomalies that occurred in 2020. We explain this process, step by step, with visual examples, in our guide How to Predict Election Results Using Registration Data, so that you can investigate the numbers for yourself.
We hope to publish links to both the raw election data and voter registration data for Washington so that citizens and researchers can analyze this information for themselves.
In most states, the certified election results and voter registration statistics are available from the Secretary of State or State Board of Elections. Check their website for details.
If you have links to the official sources of this data, please Tweet us or post a comment below to assist.
The detailed historical spreadsheets that Seth sometimes uses appear to be the ones from USElectionAtlas.org, although we have not officially confirmed this. On that website, the detailed data in CSV format is purchasable for a fee, while some aspects are browsable on the website.
Other Reports & Updates
- A team of scientists from Election-Integrity.info produced the report “2020 Presidential Election Contrast Analysis” which lists Washington as the state with the 6th highest number of unexpected Biden votes
Volunteers are needed to help verify the irregularities found. One key way this is done is through voter canvassing, with teams analyzing the county and state records and voter rolls, and others going door-to-door to identify whether the records match the actual residents living at the address.
Election Audit Groups on Telegram
To join the grassroots efforts in pursuing election integrity and audits of the 2020 election in Washington, you can join the following groups on Telegram:
For other states, see our Full List of Telegram Channels.
ElectionFraud20.org and Seth Keshel have no affiliation with nor any responsibility for these channels. Discern carefully, as some users and even admins of channels have shown obstruction to transparent audits of our elections.