See also the main article on Washington, for documented election integrity issues and further reports.
Former US military intelligence officer and statistical analyst Seth Keshel analyzed the trends of voter registrations versus actual votes. The following report indicates which counties’ vote counts align with the trend in voter registrations and which have small or large divergences. Each county is flagged as red, yellow, or green, based on whether the 2020 vote totals aligned with the expected trends (as past decades demonstrate they typically do), or if they diverged in statistically unlikely ways.
|Trump votes||Biden votes||Other votes|
|Officially reported results||1584651 (38.77%)||2369612 (57.97%)||133257 (3.26%)|
|Estimate of potential fraud||333000 (8.1%)|
|Estimate of actual result
(with fraud removed)
|1584651 (42.2%)||2036612 (54.2%)||133257 (3.5%)|
Washington has a violent, large city generating large Trump vote gains in suburbs and heavy white working class coalition shifts around state in fishing and timber industries. How did Trump gain 363k votes and get knocked back another 4% after 2008/2012/2016 Republican nominees couldn’t get out of 1.2 million vote range?
Based on predictive trends, there’s an estimated 228k excess Biden votes before counting King County, led by:
Washington Republicans and Democrats bled a lot to third parties in 2016 so I’ve been generous to Biden total for 2020 and am likely too favorable to him. For King County, there’s an estimated 105k excess from just available trends, not accounting for past “engineering” of county. If correct, there’s an estimated 333k excess statewide votes and accurate Biden margin to be +12.0%, only considering excess votes.
Best audit targets are Clark, Spokane, Yakima, Chelan, and Pierce.
Top 100 Worst Counties
Seth has listed Washington’s Clark, Pierce, and Spokane counties as being among the Nation’s Top 100 Worst Counties in terms of abnormal trends during the 2020 election.
Stats By County
Possible Voter Roll Manipulation
There are other states with bloated rolls, like Florida and Texas. Colorado doesn’t show much movement in the two parties but tons of new registered indies/others, along with Washington and Oregon. Pennsylvania and North Carolina appear to have let their party rolls run clean, showing a tremendous beating getting ready to be done by Trump, but pulled things off differently.
There appears to be a lot of phantom voters on the rolls – fake records.
Clallam County: The Only True Bellwether?
As Seth has noted, Clallam county is the only bellwether county that voted for Biden in 2020. But even this county looks suspect when you look at the numbers more closely:
In 2008 Obama won convincingly, but in 2012 and 2016 the Democrats lost votes. Then they had a big change of mind and decided to vote for Biden in 2020. Really? Also, the turnout increase (10K) on the previous election is uncharacteristically huge.
Grays Harbor County
Unexpected Surge in Mail-In Ballots
Seth Interviewed in Washington
Washington State Audit Updates
Seth met with elected officials in Washington state on Sunday 15 August, 2021:
“Tonight, rolled right up into one of the most corrupt states in the union and worked with some of the best and brightest to shine light in Washington.
“Special thanks to some courageous Washington conservative elected officials, Jovan, Glen M., Tam, and Kasey E., and others, for your hard work in putting everything on.”
Seth appears at the 32min mark in the following video:
Events & Presentations
|Wed Mar 16, 2022||
|Clark County, Washington||More info|
|Wed Feb 2, 2022||
|Woodinville, Washington||More info|
Seth Keshel’s estimates are based on the percentage of voters who are registered to each party (where it’s possible to obtain this information) compared to the actual votes for each party. He examined these party trends over the last two decades, as well as population growth, which brought to light the strange and statistically unlikely outliers and anomalies that occurred in 2020. We explain this process, step by step, with visual examples, in our guide How to Predict Election Results Using Registration Data, so that you can investigate the numbers for yourself.
We aim to publish links to both the raw election data and voter registration data for Washington so that citizens and researchers can analyze this information for themselves.
|Certified Election Results||
In most states, the certified election results are available from the Secretary of State or State Board of Elections. Check their website for details. States are also required by HAVA law to inform the public of how many absentee ballots were both sent and received to uniformed services and overseas voters.
|Voter Registration Rolls/Database||
In some states, these are freely available from the Secretary of State or State Board of Elections. Check their website. In other states, voter rolls must be purchased and/or accessed via a signed legal agreement. Some officials are also obstructing access to the rolls, to make auditing difficult. Let us know via Telegram or via the comment section below if you experience issues.
|Cast Vote Records||Ordros Analytics has collated a repository of Cast Vote Records (CVRs) which list everyone who voted in the Nov 2020 election. Only some counties in some states are represented, but the list is growing.|
|The New York Times 2020 Election Results||Results for all states, with several maps and charts.|
|Data Explorer Tool||Our own tool for inspecting the 2020 New York Times data, including the time-series data of how the counting progressed. Also provides download links for raw JSON or CSV data, including counts for every precinct and county.|
|US Election Atlas||
Recommended when doing trend analysis, as shown on this page
Detailed results for 2020 and previous years. Some data is freely accessible on their website, while some, such as detailed historic results in CSV format, are purchasable for a fee.
This appears to be the source commonly used by Seth Keshel for his analysis, although we have not officially confirmed this.
|2020 General Election Data & Research||A broad collection of national stats, vote and registration counts, time-series data, voting machine information and manuals, PDF reports, and other research collated by citizen auditors.|
|Election Night Time-Series Data from Edison||
Provides more detail than is available from the New York Times, and includes numerous interactive charts.
Download ZIP of Raw Data
Published by Jeff O’Donnell, MagaRaccoon.com
|Weekly HAVV SSN Reports||
Social Security Administration (SSA) Weekly Data for Help America Vote Verification (HAVV) Transactions by State.
Learn more about this data
Published by Jeff O’Donnell, MagaRaccoon.com
Other Reports & Updates
- A team of scientists from Election-Integrity.info produced the report “2020 Presidential Election Contrast Analysis” which lists Washington as the state with the 6th highest number of unexpected Biden votes
Volunteers are needed to help verify the irregularities found. One key way this is done is through voter canvassing, with teams analyzing the county and state records and voter rolls, and others going door-to-door to identify whether the records match the actual residents living at the address.
Election Audit Groups on Telegram
Further updates from Seth Keshel can be found on his Telegram Channel @RealSKeshel.
To join the grassroots efforts in pursuing election integrity and audits of the 2020 election in Washington, you can join the following groups on Telegram:
For other states, see our Full List of Telegram Channels.
ElectionFraud20.org and Seth Keshel have no affiliation with nor any responsibility for these channels. Discern carefully, as some users and even admins of channels have shown obstruction to transparent audits of our elections.