See also the main article on Alaska, for documented election integrity issues and further reports.
Former US military intelligence officer and statistical analyst Seth Keshel analyzed the trends of voter registrations versus actual votes. The following report indicates which counties’ vote counts align with the trend in voter registrations and which have small or large divergences. Each county is flagged as red, yellow, or green, based on whether the 2020 vote totals aligned with the expected trends (as past decades demonstrate they typically do), or if they diverged in statistically unlikely ways.
|Trump votes||Biden votes||Other votes|
|Officially reported results||189951 (52.8%)||153778 (42.8%)||15809 (4.4%)|
|Estimate of potential fraud||19000 (5.3%)|
|Estimate of actual result
(with fraud removed)
|189951 (55.8%)||134778 (39.6%)||15809 (4.6%)|
Notes: apologies for the crude map. AK is divided electorally into 40 State House districts, and that is how they track presidential results. These are new as of 2016, so trends are not available except for Party ID shifts and new voter numbers.
Fairbanks is districts 1-3, and Anchorage is 15-28, with 7-14 being surrounding areas. Trump trended heavily 37-40, which are largely native and reflects growth with minority voters.
Biden is 38k over Clinton in one cycle, with Trump up 27k. Trump is still not higher than McCain 2008.
Alaska has a lot of parties and has some indies, but I made some serious discoveries that cannot be captured fully in this caption. I am going to stop at the bottom line, and YOU NEED TO READ THE ATTACHMENT CALLED “AK INTEL SUMMARY.”
Biden appears 19k heavy, meaning a more likely margin in Alaska counting only excess votes is 55.7% to 37.4%, or 18.3% instead of 10.0%.
Top 100 Worst Counties
Seth has listed Alaska’s Anchorage County as being among the Nation’s Top 100 Worst Counties in terms of abnormal trends during the 2020 election.
Possible Voter Roll Manipulation
A number of states, both key competitive states, and not, have machined/trimmed/manipulated their voter rolls for the desired outcomes. Here is an example from Alaska:
From 2012-16, there were just 23,000 net new registered voters, split 51% for a party and 49% Independent/other. From 2016-20, 3x the amount (68,000), at 4.5% Republican, 3.5% Democrat, and NINETY-TWO PERCENT Independent/Other. This forces most of their voting districts left thanks to the amount of indies diluting the math, suggesting a left lurch to an analyst. You may remember that Alaska took 3 days to call even with the artificially shortened 10% margin. I believe it was the 3-electoral vote putter in the proverbial golf bag in case Biden got hung up at 268 electoral votes.
Further Analysis on Alaska
This video, featuring Seth Keshel, discusses some of the issues with Alaska, starting at 22min mark. He says that it’s very odd and possibly suspicious that Alaska took so long to count and submit their final results, considering the relatively small number of votes.
- In Alaska, the election process has been given over to a government monopoly
- 2 weeks before election, their database was hacked
- Government decided not to let anyone know about it. They waited until after the election was certified!
- 100,000 citizens had their data breached
The strength of the Constitution lies entirely in the determination of each citizen to defend it. Only if every single citizen feels duty bound to do his share in this defense are the constitutional rights secure.”
― Albert Einstein
Seth Keshel’s estimates are based on the percentage of voters who are registered to each party (where it’s possible to obtain this information) compared to the actual votes for each party. He examined these party trends over the last two decades, as well as population growth, which brought to light the strange and statistically unlikely outliers and anomalies that occurred in 2020. We explain this process, step by step, with visual examples, in our guide How to Predict Election Results Using Registration Data, so that you can investigate the numbers for yourself.
This video from Telegram also explains some of Seth’s approach to analyzing precincts.
We aim to publish links to both the raw election data and voter registration data for Alaska so that citizens and researchers can analyze this information for themselves.
|Certified Election Results||
In most states, the certified election results are available from the Secretary of State or State Board of Elections. Check their website for details. States are also required by HAVA law to inform the public of how many absentee ballots were both sent and received to uniformed services and overseas voters.
|Voter Registration Rolls/Database||
In some states, these are freely available from the Secretary of State or State Board of Elections. Check their website. In other states, voter rolls must be purchased and/or accessed via a signed legal agreement. Some officials are also obstructing access to the rolls, to make auditing difficult. Let us know via Telegram or via the comment section below if you experience issues.
|Cast Vote Records||Ordros Analytics has collated a repository of Cast Vote Records (CVRs) which list everyone who voted in the Nov 2020 election. Only some counties in some states are represented, but the list is growing.|
|The New York Times 2020 Election Results||Results for all states, with several maps and charts.|
|Data Explorer Tool||Our own tool for inspecting the 2020 New York Times data, including the time-series data of how the counting progressed. Also provides download links for raw JSON or CSV data, including counts for every precinct and county.|
|US Election Atlas||
Recommended when doing trend analysis, as shown on this page
Detailed results for 2020 and previous years. Some data is freely accessible on their website, while some, such as detailed historic results in CSV format, are purchasable for a fee.
This appears to be the source commonly used by Seth Keshel for his analysis, although we have not officially confirmed this.
|2020 General Election Data & Research||A broad collection of national stats, vote and registration counts, time-series data, voting machine information and manuals, PDF reports, and other research collated by citizen auditors.|
|Election Night Time-Series Data from Edison||
Provides more detail than is available from the New York Times, and includes numerous interactive charts.
Download ZIP of Raw Data
Published by Jeff O’Donnell, MagaRaccoon.com
|Weekly HAVV SSN Reports||
Social Security Administration (SSA) Weekly Data for Help America Vote Verification (HAVV) Transactions by State.
Learn more about this data
Published by Jeff O’Donnell, MagaRaccoon.com
Volunteers are needed to help verify the irregularities found. One key way this is done is through voter canvassing, with teams analyzing the county and state records and voter rolls, and others going door-to-door to identify whether the records match the actual residents living at the address.
Election Audit Groups on Telegram
Further updates from Seth Keshel can be found on his Telegram Channel @RealSKeshel.
To join the grassroots efforts in pursuing election integrity and audits of the 2020 election in Alaska, you can join the following groups on Telegram:
For other states, see our Full List of Telegram Channels.
ElectionFraud20.org and Seth Keshel have no affiliation with nor any responsibility for these channels. Discern carefully, as some users and even admins of channels have shown obstruction to transparent audits of our elections.