From our article on The Counties Where Votes and Party Registrations Don’t Align, here is the full list of counties where, in 2020, the party shift in votes did not match the party shift in registrations.
This is where RVT 2020 category starts with a “N”.
💡 TIP: Keep an eye out for the categories that have one or two stars!
Observations:
Colorado: In 2016 all the counties were Y-R, but in 2020 they were nearly all N-R or N-D.
Observations:
Kentucky: In 2016 all the counties were Y-R, but in 2020 they were all N-R! (and many of them have two stars!!)
Observations:
Massachusetts: Largest counties have had more Republican registrations than Democrats. But it does not translate into a greater increase in Republican votes over Democrats…
Observations:
New York and North Carolina are trying hard to vote more Republican. To no avail…
Observations:
Oklahoma! Pennsylvania! West Virginia!
Other Articles In This Series
| Overview | Diving deeper into the unusual trends and statistics discovered in the 2020 election. |
| Part 1 | A look at the surprising failure of the bellwether counties in 2020, and what that tells us about the Presidential election outcome. |
| Part 2 | The data shows the Democrats are winning less and less counties at each election, but are winning more and more of the largest counties. How is this possible? |
| Part 3 | Voter turnout rates shot up dramatically in many states in 2020. We look at the voting rates since 2000 to find out which states set a new record. |
| Part 4 | Learn how to "normalize" a county's winning margin to identify abnormalities. What does this reveal about the 2020 election? |
| Part 5 | Learn how to use the party registration numbers for each county to predict the election results for a state and assess the likely validity of the results. This is a guide on the method Seth Keshel uses for his predictions and county heat maps, allowing you to dig into the trends of your own county and uncover anomalies. |
| Part 6 | We build on some of the previous techniques to scan 3,111 American counties, identifying those whose shift in vote totals moves unexpectedly against the shift in party registrations. |
| Part 7 | We compare the Democrat vote totals with previous elections which reveal some very large increases in unlikely places. |
| Part 8 | We compare key parameters in the 2020 results against the previous five elections using the z-score, and find hundreds of counties breaking statistical norms. |
| Part 9 | Interesting statistical findings on how the Presidential race results compared to the other races in the same election. |
| Part 10 |
Voter Roll Analysis
Coming soon.
|
| Part 11 |
The Art of the Steal
Coming soon.
|
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