See also the main article on Wyoming, for documented election integrity issues and further reports.
Former US military intelligence officer and statistical analyst Seth Keshel analyzed the trends of voter registrations versus actual votes. The following report indicates which counties’ vote counts align with the trend in voter registrations and which have small or large divergences. Each county is flagged as red, yellow, or green, based on whether the 2020 vote totals aligned with the expected trends (as past decades demonstrate they typically do), or if they diverged in statistically unlikely ways.
| Trump votes | Biden votes | Other votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Officially reported results | 193559 (69.9%) | 73491 (26.6%) | 9670 (3.5%) |
| Estimate of potential fraud | 1000 (0.4%) | ||
| Estimate of actual result
(with fraud removed) |
193559 (70.2%) | 72491 (26.3%) | 9670 (3.5%) |
First Idaho, now Wyoming – these two states avoided the simulation of 2020 and give an accurate view of what the true dynamics of the election were. Biden has fewer votes in Wyoming than Obama did in 2008, when he lost the state by 32%.
Contrast this with a vote total in Utah, nearly double Obama’s total from 2008, and a very strong vote gain in Montana, and you see that Wyoming was not part of the game plan.
| Yellow – Suspect/Likely Fraud | (1 county) |
| Green – Clean | (22 counties) |
Albany County, home to University of Wyoming, is the only one that pings on my yellow list, and perhaps only for about 1,000 votes, enough to flip the county from red to blue, despite a Trump gain and a slight GOP registration edge over the past four years, in a county won by the last two Republican nominees.
A very clean, nice example of another Rocky Mountain state trending in the 2008-2012-2016 fashion, as predicted by party registration totals.
Source: https://t.me/CaptainKMapsandStats/31
Further Updates
Methodology
Seth Keshel’s estimates are based on the percentage of voters who are registered to each party (where it’s possible to obtain this information) compared to the actual votes for each party. He examined these party trends over the last two decades, as well as population growth, which brought to light the strange and statistically unlikely outliers and anomalies that occurred in 2020. We explain this process, step by step, with visual examples, in our guide How to Predict Election Results Using Registration Data, so that you can investigate the numbers for yourself.
This video from Telegram also explains some of Seth’s approach to analyzing precincts.
Raw Data
We aim to publish links to both the raw election data and voter registration data for Wyoming so that citizens and researchers can analyze this information for themselves.
Election Audit Groups on Telegram
Further updates from Seth Keshel can be found on his Telegram Channel @ElectionHQ2024.
To join the grassroots efforts in pursuing election integrity and audits of the 2020 election in Wyoming, you can join the following groups on Telegram:
For other states, see our Full List of Telegram Channels.
ElectionFraud20.org and Seth Keshel have no affiliation with nor any responsibility for these channels. Discern carefully, as some users and even admins of channels have shown obstruction to transparent audits of our elections.