See also the main article on South Carolina, for documented election integrity issues and further reports.

Former US military intelligence officer and statistical analyst Seth Keshel analyzed the trends of voter registrations versus actual votes. The following report indicates which counties’ vote counts align with the trend in voter registrations and which have small or large divergences. Each county is flagged as red, yellow, or green, based on whether the 2020 vote totals aligned with the expected trends (as past decades demonstrate they typically do), or if they diverged in statistically unlikely ways.


Seth Keshel County Trend Map for South Carolina

Chart legend: Red = Rampant Fraud, Yellow = Likely/Suspect, Green = Clean

Trump votes Biden votes Other votes
Officially reported results 1385103 (55.1%) 1091541 (43.4%) 37726 (1.5%)
Estimate of potential fraud 119000 (4.7%)
Estimate of actual result
(with fraud removed)
1385103 (57.8%) 972541 (40.6%) 37726 (1.6%)

I knew there were some issues in South Carolina, but didn’t think they were so widespread.

Even allowing population and vote expansion, Biden appears to have an unexpected excess of 119,000 votes, with only 22 of 46 counties trending “clean” (meaning they align with registration trends). A massive coastal operation seems to have brought Biden a +236k gain over Clinton, blowing away Obama’s 2008 mark of 200k gained. Trump was also up in the state 230k, and it appears he won it by a mile.

This state has lots of target-rich GOP counties to go after for audits.

Worst counties:

County Excess/Suspicious Votes
Charleston 12,000
Greenville 12,000
Horry 12,000
Spartanburg 12,000
Berkeley 8,000
York 8,000
Richland 8,000

If Biden has 119k excess votes as estimated, an accurate Trump margin is 17.3%, or 57.9% to 40.6%, and 412k votes.

Best GOP county audit targets: Beaufort, Berkeley, Dorchester, Greenville, Horr, Lexington, Spartanburg, York
Most important to audit: Charleston


Stats By County

The following table shows:

  1. The number of excess Democrat votes, beyond what the trends suggest are reasonable
  2. The population growth for the county over the past decade
  3. The number of new registered voters in the county prior to the 2020 election

Seth Keshel County Trends for South Carolina


Top 100 Worst Counties

Seth has listed South Carolina’s Horry County as being among the Nation’s Top 100 Worst Counties in terms of abnormal trends during the 2020 election.

Beaufort County, South Carolina

Seth gave the following presentation at Audit The SC 2020 Vote Rally, Beaufort County, SC, on Monday, August 30, 2021. 49min runtime.

Following the release of canvassing results in Feb 2022, Seth also gave the following short summary which correlates his earlier findings with the canvassing results:

Watch on Rumble

Charleston County, South Carolina

Seth gave the following presentation in Mt Pleasant, South Carolina, Tuesday, August 31, 2021. 55min runtime.

Watch on Rumble

Canvassing Results

On Feb 5, 2022, South Carolina Safe Elections Group released their election canvassing results. Learn more about their findings.

Precinct-Level Data

Seth has produced detailed precinct-level heat maps for several dozen counties in other states but has found it difficult to do so for North and South Carolina:

Events & Presentations

Tue Feb 15, 2022

Dr. Doug Frank and Seth Keshel

Florence, South Carolina More info
Fri Oct 29, 2021

Seth Keshel

Myrtle Beach, South Carolina More info
Tue Aug 31, 2021

Seth Keshel

Charleston, South Carolina More info


Seth Keshel’s estimates are based on the percentage of voters who are registered to each party (where it’s possible to obtain this information) compared to the actual votes for each party. He examined these party trends over the last two decades, as well as population growth, which brought to light the strange and statistically unlikely outliers and anomalies that occurred in 2020. We explain this process, step by step, with visual examples, in our guide How to Predict Election Results Using Registration Data, so that you can investigate the numbers for yourself.

Raw Data

We aim to publish links to both the raw election data and voter registration data for South Carolina so that citizens and researchers can analyze this information for themselves.

Show Raw Data Links

Certified Election Results
Currently unknown

In most states, the certified election results are available from the Secretary of State or State Board of Elections. Check their website for details. States are also required by HAVA law to inform the public of how many absentee ballots were both sent and received to uniformed services and overseas voters.
Voter Registration Rolls/Database
Currently unknown

In some states, these are freely available from the Secretary of State or State Board of Elections. Check their website. In other states, voter rolls must be purchased and/or accessed via a signed legal agreement. Some officials are also obstructing access to the rolls, to make auditing difficult. Let us know via Telegram or via the comment section below if you experience issues.
Cast Vote Records Ordros Analytics has collated a repository of Cast Vote Records (CVRs) which list everyone who voted in the Nov 2020 election. Only some counties in some states are represented, but the list is growing.
The New York Times 2020 Election Results Results for all states, with several maps and charts.
Data Explorer Tool Our own tool for inspecting the 2020 New York Times data, including the time-series data of how the counting progressed. Also provides download links for raw JSON or CSV data, including counts for every precinct and county.
US Election Atlas
Recommended when doing trend analysis, as shown on this page

Detailed results for 2020 and previous years. Some data is freely accessible on their website, while some, such as detailed historic results in CSV format, are purchasable for a fee.
This appears to be the source commonly used by Seth Keshel for his analysis, although we have not officially confirmed this.
2020 General Election Data & Research A broad collection of national stats, vote and registration counts, time-series data, voting machine information and manuals, PDF reports, and other research collated by citizen auditors.
Election Night Time-Series Data from Edison

Provides more detail than is available from the New York Times, and includes numerous interactive charts.
Download ZIP of Raw Data
Published by Jeff O’Donnell,
Weekly HAVV SSN Reports

Social Security Administration (SSA) Weekly Data for Help America Vote Verification (HAVV) Transactions by State.
Learn more about this data
Published by Jeff O’Donnell,

If you have additional sources of election data, please let us know via Telegram, Twitter or post a comment below to assist.

Get Involved

Volunteers are needed to help verify the irregularities found. One key way this is done is through voter canvassing, with teams analyzing the county and state records and voter rolls, and others going door-to-door to identify whether the records match the actual residents living at the address.

Learn more about Canvassing Volunteer in Your State

Election Audit Groups on Telegram

Further updates from Seth Keshel can be found on his Telegram Channel @RealSKeshel.

To join the grassroots efforts in pursuing election integrity and audits of the 2020 election in South Carolina, you can join the following groups on Telegram:

For other states, see our Full List of Telegram Channels. and Seth Keshel have no affiliation with nor any responsibility for these channels. Discern carefully, as some users and even admins of channels have shown obstruction to transparent audits of our elections.

See Also

Lynz Piper-Loomis is running for South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District. She has pledged strong support to face election fraud. Find her at or on Telegram at @LynzPiperLoomis.

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