See also the main article on South Carolina, for documented election integrity issues and further reports.
Former US military intelligence officer and statistical analyst Seth Keshel analyzed the trends of voter registrations versus actual votes. The following report indicates which counties’ vote counts align with the trend in voter registrations and which have small or large divergences. Each county is flagged as red, yellow, or green, based on whether the 2020 vote totals aligned with the expected trends (as past decades demonstrate they typically do), or if they diverged in statistically unlikely ways.
| Trump votes | Biden votes | Other votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Officially reported results | 1385103 (55.1%) | 1091541 (43.4%) | 37726 (1.5%) |
| Estimate of potential fraud | 119000 (4.7%) | ||
| Estimate of actual result
(with fraud removed) |
1385103 (57.8%) | 972541 (40.6%) | 37726 (1.6%) |
I knew there were some issues in South Carolina, but didn’t think they were so widespread.
Even allowing population and vote expansion, Biden appears to have an unexpected excess of 119,000 votes, with only 22 of 46 counties trending “clean” (meaning they align with registration trends). A massive coastal operation seems to have brought Biden a +236k gain over Clinton, blowing away Obama’s 2008 mark of 200k gained. Trump was also up in the state 230k, and it appears he won it by a mile.
This state has lots of target-rich GOP counties to go after for audits.
Worst counties:
| County | Excess/Suspicious Votes |
|---|---|
| Charleston | 12,000 |
| Greenville | 12,000 |
| Horry | 12,000 |
| Spartanburg | 12,000 |
| Berkeley | 8,000 |
| York | 8,000 |
| Richland | 8,000 |
If Biden has 119k excess votes as estimated, an accurate Trump margin is 17.3%, or 57.9% to 40.6%, and 412k votes.
| Best GOP county audit targets: | Beaufort, Berkeley, Dorchester, Greenville, Horr, Lexington, Spartanburg, York |
| Most important to audit: | Charleston |
Source: https://t.me/CaptainKMapsandStats/103
Stats By County
The following table shows:
- The number of excess Democrat votes, beyond what the trends suggest are reasonable
- The population growth for the county over the past decade
- The number of new registered voters in the county prior to the 2020 election
Source: https://t.me/CaptainKMapsandStats/103
Top 100 Worst Counties
Seth has listed South Carolina’s Horry County as being among the Nation’s Top 100 Worst Counties in terms of abnormal trends during the 2020 election.
Beaufort County, South Carolina
Seth gave the following presentation at Audit The SC 2020 Vote Rally, Beaufort County, SC, on Monday, August 30, 2021. 49min runtime.
Following the release of canvassing results in Feb 2022, Seth also gave the following short summary which correlates his earlier findings with the canvassing results:
Charleston County, South Carolina
Seth gave the following presentation in Mt Pleasant, South Carolina, Tuesday, August 31, 2021. 55min runtime.
Canvassing Results
On Feb 5, 2022, South Carolina Safe Elections Group released their election canvassing results. Learn more about their findings.
Precinct-Level Data
Seth has produced detailed precinct-level heat maps for several dozen counties in other states but has found it difficult to do so for North and South Carolina:
Events & Presentations
| Date | Presenter | Location | Link |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue Feb 15, 2022 | Dr. Doug Frank and Seth Keshel |
Florence, South Carolina | More info |
| Fri Oct 29, 2021 | Seth Keshel |
Myrtle Beach, South Carolina | More info |
| Tue Aug 31, 2021 | Seth Keshel |
Charleston, South Carolina | More info |
Methodology
Seth Keshel’s estimates are based on the percentage of voters who are registered to each party (where it’s possible to obtain this information) compared to the actual votes for each party. He examined these party trends over the last two decades, as well as population growth, which brought to light the strange and statistically unlikely outliers and anomalies that occurred in 2020. We explain this process, step by step, with visual examples, in our guide How to Predict Election Results Using Registration Data, so that you can investigate the numbers for yourself.
This video from Telegram also explains some of Seth’s approach to analyzing precincts.
Raw Data
We aim to publish links to both the raw election data and voter registration data for South Carolina so that citizens and researchers can analyze this information for themselves.
Election Audit Groups on Telegram
Further updates from Seth Keshel can be found on his Telegram Channel @ElectionHQ2024.
To join the grassroots efforts in pursuing election integrity and audits of the 2020 election in South Carolina, you can join the following groups on Telegram:
- SC Safe Elections Group Chat
- SC Safe Elections (Website)
- Lynz Piper-Loomis (candidate for Congress)
- South Carolina Audit Force
- South Carolina Audit Force Discussion
- South Carolina One Six (helping Jan 6 political prisoners)
- South Carolina One Six Discussion (helping Jan 6 political prisoners)
For other states, see our Full List of Telegram Channels.
ElectionFraud20.org and Seth Keshel have no affiliation with nor any responsibility for these channels. Discern carefully, as some users and even admins of channels have shown obstruction to transparent audits of our elections.
See Also
Lynz Piper-Loomis is running for South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District. She has pledged strong support to face election fraud. Find her at LynzSC.com or on Telegram at @LynzPiperLoomis.