See also the main article on Rhode Island, for documented election integrity issues and further reports.
Former US military intelligence officer and statistical analyst Seth Keshel analyzed the trends of voter registrations versus actual votes. The following report indicates which counties’ vote counts align with the trend in voter registrations and which have small or large divergences. Each county is flagged as red, yellow, or green, based on whether the 2020 vote totals aligned with the expected trends (as past decades demonstrate they typically do), or if they diverged in statistically unlikely ways.
| Trump votes | Biden votes | Other votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Officially reported results | 199922 (38.6%) | 307486 (59.4%) | 10353 (2.0%) |
| Estimate of potential fraud | 45000 (8.7%) | ||
| Estimate of actual result
(with fraud removed) |
199922 (42.3%) | 262486 (55.5%) | 10353 (2.2%) |
Rhode Island has a big white working class population that has been drifting away from Democrats for a decade, and accelerated rapidly toward Trump in 2016. Both Trump and Biden have strong gains here in a state that is tiny, with little population growth overall.
They also stopped the count here – it reminds me of NJ to a degree. Biden is at least 45k votes heavy. Obama -17k in reelection, Clinton -27k in 2016 as Trump gained 23k. This year, it looks like this could have been a single digit race.
They are blowing it over everywhere, 20k excess in Providence, reversing a trend that gets worse when GOP gains.
If Biden is 45k heavy, his margin would be 56.6% to 43.2%, or just 62k votes. If there is electronic vote flipping present and I’m light, this state could have been down to the wire.
Best Audit Targets: everything but Bristol
Source: https://t.me/ElectionHQ2024/715
Top 100 Worst Counties
Seth has listed Rhode Island’s Kent County as being among the Nation’s Top 100 Worst Counties in terms of abnormal trends during the 2020 election.
Methodology
Seth Keshel’s estimates are based on the percentage of voters who are registered to each party (where it’s possible to obtain this information) compared to the actual votes for each party. He examined these party trends over the last two decades, as well as population growth, which brought to light the strange and statistically unlikely outliers and anomalies that occurred in 2020. We explain this process, step by step, with visual examples, in our guide How to Predict Election Results Using Registration Data, so that you can investigate the numbers for yourself.
This video from Telegram also explains some of Seth’s approach to analyzing precincts.
Raw Data
We aim to publish links to both the raw election data and voter registration data for Rhode Island so that citizens and researchers can analyze this information for themselves.
Election Audit Groups on Telegram
Further updates from Seth Keshel can be found on his Telegram Channel @ElectionHQ2024.
To join the grassroots efforts in pursuing election integrity and audits of the 2020 election in Rhode Island, you can join the following groups on Telegram:
For other states, see our Full List of Telegram Channels.
ElectionFraud20.org and Seth Keshel have no affiliation with nor any responsibility for these channels. Discern carefully, as some users and even admins of channels have shown obstruction to transparent audits of our elections.