See also the main article on Oklahoma, for documented election integrity issues and further reports.

Former US military intelligence officer and statistical analyst Seth Keshel analyzed the trends of voter registrations versus actual votes. The following report indicates which counties’ vote counts align with the trend in voter registrations and which have small or large divergences. Each county is flagged as red, yellow, or green, based on whether the 2020 vote totals aligned with the expected trends (as past decades demonstrate they typically do), or if they diverged in statistically unlikely ways.

Seth Keshel County Trend Map for Oklahoma

Chart legend: Red = Rampant Fraud, Yellow = Likely/Suspect, Green = Clean

Seth Keshel County Trends for Oklahoma

Trump votes Biden votes Other votes
Officially reported results 1020280 (65.4%) 503890 (32.3%) 35881 (2.3%)
Estimate of potential fraud 39000 (2.5%)
Estimate of actual result
(with fraud removed)
1020280 (67.1%) 464890 (30.6%) 35881 (2.4%)

Something seems off when Trump gains 71k new votes in Oklahoma, and Biden cranks out 84k, especially when every single county trends more Republican in registration, with that indicator forecasting wider margins each election since 2008.

Biden is at least 39k heavy per trend/population/registration analysis. Oklahoma County (OKC) is the big issue and had a contested house race. Republicans outregistered Democrats 5 to 3 after Trump won it by 10.5% in 2016, but Trump somehow barely held the county. The numbers suggest electronic fraud, since the Democrat gain of 30k is an all-time high.

Tulsa is also ugly, Democrats down over 300 net on the rolls, Republicans up over 5k new registrants, Democrats gain record 21k. Cleveland County, Democrat net loss in registrations, Republicans +5.6k, record gain of 10k (7k previous).

Biden appears to be 39k heavy in Oklahoma.

If 39k heavy, Trump would be 67.0% to 30.6%, or 555k.

Most in need of audits – Oklahoma, Tulsa, Cleveland

Source: https://t.me/ElectionHQ2024/709

Top 100 Worst Counties

Seth has listed Oklahoma County as being among the Nation’s Top 100 Worst Counties in terms of abnormal trends during the 2020 election.

Oklahoma County Heat Map

Events & Presentations

DatePresenterLocationLink
Thu Dec 16, 2021

Seth Keshel

Duncan, Oklahoma More info
Tue Oct 5, 2021

Seth Keshel

Oklahoma City, Oklahoma More info

Further Updates

Methodology

Seth Keshel’s estimates are based on the percentage of voters who are registered to each party (where it’s possible to obtain this information) compared to the actual votes for each party. He examined these party trends over the last two decades, as well as population growth, which brought to light the strange and statistically unlikely outliers and anomalies that occurred in 2020. We explain this process, step by step, with visual examples, in our guide How to Predict Election Results Using Registration Data, so that you can investigate the numbers for yourself.

This video from Telegram also explains some of Seth’s approach to analyzing precincts.

Raw Data

We aim to publish links to both the raw election data and voter registration data for Oklahoma so that citizens and researchers can analyze this information for themselves.

Show Raw Data Links

Certified Election Results
Currently unknown

In most states, the certified election results are available from the Secretary of State or State Board of Elections. Check their website for details. States are also required by HAVA law to inform the public of how many absentee ballots were both sent and received to uniformed services and overseas voters.
Voter Registration Rolls/Database
Currently unknown

In some states, these are freely available from the Secretary of State or State Board of Elections. Check their website. In other states, voter rolls must be purchased and/or accessed via a signed legal agreement. Some officials are also obstructing access to the rolls, to make auditing difficult. Let us know via Telegram or via the comment section below if you experience issues.
Cast Vote Records Ordros Analytics has collated a repository of Cast Vote Records (CVRs) which list everyone who voted in the Nov 2020 election. Only some counties in some states are represented, but the list is growing.
The New York Times 2020 Election Results Results for all states, with several maps and charts.
Data Explorer Tool Our own tool for inspecting the 2020 New York Times data, including the time-series data of how the counting progressed. Also provides download links for raw JSON or CSV data, including counts for every precinct and county.
US Election Atlas
Recommended when doing trend analysis, as shown on this page

Detailed results for 2020 and previous years. Some data is freely accessible on their website, while some, such as detailed historic results in CSV format, are purchasable for a fee.
This appears to be the source commonly used by Seth Keshel for his analysis, although we have not officially confirmed this.
2020 General Election Data & Research A broad collection of national stats, vote and registration counts, time-series data, voting machine information and manuals, PDF reports, and other research collated by citizen auditors.
Election Night Time-Series Data from Edison
Unverified

Provides more detail than is available from the New York Times, and includes numerous interactive charts.
Download ZIP of Raw Data
Published by Jeff O’Donnell, MagaRaccoon.com
Weekly HAVV SSN Reports
Unverified

Social Security Administration (SSA) Weekly Data for Help America Vote Verification (HAVV) Transactions by State.
Learn more about this data
Published by Jeff O’Donnell, MagaRaccoon.com

If you have additional sources of election data, please let us know via Telegram, Twitter or post a comment below to assist.

Get Involved

Volunteers are needed to help verify the irregularities found. One key way this is done is through voter canvassing, with teams analyzing the county and state records and voter rolls, and others going door-to-door to identify whether the records match the actual residents living at the address.

Learn more about Canvassing Volunteer in Your State

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