See also the main article on Ohio, for documented election integrity issues and further reports.
Former US military intelligence officer and statistical analyst Seth Keshel analyzed the trends of voter registrations versus actual votes. The following report indicates which counties’ vote counts align with the trend in voter registrations and which have small or large divergences. Each county is flagged as red, yellow, or green, based on whether the 2020 vote totals aligned with the expected trends (as past decades demonstrate they typically do), or if they diverged in statistically unlikely ways.
| Trump votes | Biden votes | Other votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Officially reported results | 3154834 (53.27%) | 2679165 (45.24%) | 88240 (1.49%) |
| Estimate of potential fraud | 88000 (1.5%) | ||
| Estimate of actual result
(with fraud removed) |
3154834 (54.1%) | 2591165 (44.4%) | 88240 (1.5%) |
Ohio was a blowout in 2016, higher than most predicted, with the margin slightly lighter this year, but with more votes won by. This state, regionally, is clean, compared to the cesspools that are MI and PA. I estimate Biden to be 88k higher than trends, population growth, previous records, and population growth would suggest.
Most curiously (sarcasm), Cuyahoga County (Cleveland) didn’t appear to have nearly the level of interest in candidate Biden as Wayne County (Michigan) and nearby Allegheny County (Pennsylvania) did. Biden gained just 18k votes, but with declining voter roll and a solid Trump gain, I still flagged 8k as class yellow.
Franklin is the only red, 15k excess, 19% over Obama ’08 new vote growth with solid Trump gain opposing.
If Biden is 88k heavy, Trump’s margin would have been 9.7% (54.0-44.3), a win of 564k votes.
Best targets for audits: Butler, Delaware, Licking, Lake, Union, Warren
Source: https://t.me/CaptainKMapsandStats/90
Top 100 Worst Counties
Seth has listed Ohio’s Franklin County as being among the Nation’s Top 100 Worst Counties in terms of abnormal trends during the 2020 election.
Methodology
Seth Keshel’s estimates are based on the percentage of voters who are registered to each party (where it’s possible to obtain this information) compared to the actual votes for each party. He examined these party trends over the last two decades, as well as population growth, which brought to light the strange and statistically unlikely outliers and anomalies that occurred in 2020. We explain this process, step by step, with visual examples, in our guide How to Predict Election Results Using Registration Data, so that you can investigate the numbers for yourself.
This video from Telegram also explains some of Seth’s approach to analyzing precincts.
Raw Data
We aim to publish links to both the raw election data and voter registration data for Ohio so that citizens and researchers can analyze this information for themselves.
Other Reports
- A team of scientists from Election-Integrity.info produced the report “2020 Presidential Election Startling Vote Spikes” which includes a section on Ohio
Election Audit Groups on Telegram
Further updates from Seth Keshel can be found on his Telegram Channel @ElectionHQ2024.
To join the grassroots efforts in pursuing election integrity and audits of the 2020 election in Ohio, you can join the following groups on Telegram:
- Audit OH
- OH Audit
- Ohio Audit Force
- Ohio Audit Force Discussion
- Ohio One Six (helping Jan 6 political prisoners)
- Ohio One Six Discussion (helping Jan 6 political prisoners)
For other states, see our Full List of Telegram Channels.
ElectionFraud20.org and Seth Keshel have no affiliation with nor any responsibility for these channels. Discern carefully, as some users and even admins of channels have shown obstruction to transparent audits of our elections.