See also the main article on Nevada, for documented election integrity issues and further reports.
Former US military intelligence officer and statistical analyst Seth Keshel analyzed the trends of voter registrations versus actual votes. The following report indicates which counties’ vote counts align with the trend in voter registrations and which have small or large divergences. Each county is flagged as red, yellow, or green, based on whether the 2020 vote totals aligned with the expected trends (as past decades demonstrate they typically do), or if they diverged in statistically unlikely ways.
| Trump votes | Biden votes | Other votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Officially reported results | 669890 (47.67%) | 703486 (50.06%) | 31900 (2.27%) |
| Estimate of potential fraud | 100000 (7.1%) | ||
| Estimate of actual result
(with fraud removed) |
669890 (51.3%) | 603486 (46.2%) | 31900 (2.4%) |
I’ve done several deep dives that included Nevada, so won’t go into too much detail here. 14 counties + Independent Carson City trended roughly as expected, no real demand for forensics in those unless a statewide audit happened.
Washoe is a little heavy on votes but not smoking gun like Clark County is.
Please review Nevada attachment for more details.
Estimate of 100k+ excess votes in Clark County for Joe Biden.
A forensic audit is a must for Clark County, but governor, Sec. State, and legislature are major issues.
The counties highlighted green, above, had vote counts very close to Seth’s predictions based on party registration numbers. Clark, Washoe and a number of others (flagged yellow and orange) trended unexpectedly, which deserve closer inspection.
Source: https://t.me/CaptainKMapsandStats/17
Top 100 Worst Counties
Seth has listed Nevada’s Clark and Washoe counties as being among the Nation’s Top 100 Worst Counties in terms of abnormal trends during the 2020 election.
Clark County
The following chart displays the precincts within Clark County with the highest number of anomalous Biden votes:
Washoe County
Events & Presentations
| Date | Presenter | Location | Link |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu Mar 10, 2022 | Seth Keshel |
Las Vegas, Nevada | More info |
Further Updates
Methodology
Seth Keshel’s estimates are based on the percentage of voters who are registered to each party (where it’s possible to obtain this information) compared to the actual votes for each party. He examined these party trends over the last two decades, as well as population growth, which brought to light the strange and statistically unlikely outliers and anomalies that occurred in 2020. We explain this process, step by step, with visual examples, in our guide How to Predict Election Results Using Registration Data, so that you can investigate the numbers for yourself.
This video from Telegram also explains some of Seth’s approach to analyzing precincts.
Raw Data
We aim to publish links to both the raw election data and voter registration data for Nevada so that citizens and researchers can analyze this information for themselves.
One searchable database of voter registration data is being published online at VoteRef.com where visitors are be able to “crowd-source” any errors.