See also the main article on Mississippi, for documented election integrity issues and further reports.
Former US military intelligence officer and statistical analyst Seth Keshel analyzed the trends of voter registrations versus actual votes. The following report indicates which counties’ vote counts align with the trend in voter registrations and which have small or large divergences. Each county is flagged as red, yellow, or green, based on whether the 2020 vote totals aligned with the expected trends (as past decades demonstrate they typically do), or if they diverged in statistically unlikely ways.
| Trump votes | Biden votes | Other votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Officially reported results | 756764 (57.6%) | 539398 (41.1%) | 17061 (1.3%) |
| Estimate of potential fraud | 15000 (1.1%) | ||
| Estimate of actual result
(with fraud removed) |
756764 (58.3%) | 524398 (40.4%) | 17061 (1.3%) |
Mississippi is one of the cleaner states overall, coming in only about 15k heavy on Biden, without the benefit of party registration to zero in on the numbers. He’s up 11.1% from 2016, in line with states like Iowa, Idaho, Arkansas, that came in in line with party/registration trends.
Hinds County trends clean. Other counties growing in population should see some growth, but none high enough to create serious demand for an audit. What I’ve found here are more small counties with stagnant/declining population that have small gains that don’t make much sense – maybe meaning the voter rolls need to be cleaned up.
DeSoto County would probably be worth a look.
Biden appears to be 15k heavy statewide.
Source: https://t.me/ElectionHQ2024/711
Further Updates
Methodology
Seth Keshel’s estimates are based on the percentage of voters who are registered to each party (where it’s possible to obtain this information) compared to the actual votes for each party. He examined these party trends over the last two decades, as well as population growth, which brought to light the strange and statistically unlikely outliers and anomalies that occurred in 2020. We explain this process, step by step, with visual examples, in our guide How to Predict Election Results Using Registration Data, so that you can investigate the numbers for yourself.
This video from Telegram also explains some of Seth’s approach to analyzing precincts.
Raw Data
We aim to publish links to both the raw election data and voter registration data for Mississippi so that citizens and researchers can analyze this information for themselves.
Election Audit Groups on Telegram
Further updates from Seth Keshel can be found on his Telegram Channel @ElectionHQ2024.
To join the grassroots efforts in pursuing election integrity and audits of the 2020 election in Mississippi, you can join the following groups on Telegram:
For other states, see our Full List of Telegram Channels.
ElectionFraud20.org and Seth Keshel have no affiliation with nor any responsibility for these channels. Discern carefully, as some users and even admins of channels have shown obstruction to transparent audits of our elections.