See also the main article on Maryland, for documented election integrity issues and further reports.

Former US military intelligence officer and statistical analyst Seth Keshel analyzed the trends of voter registrations versus actual votes. The following report indicates which counties’ vote counts align with the trend in voter registrations and which have small or large divergences. Each county is flagged as red, yellow, or green, based on whether the 2020 vote totals aligned with the expected trends (as past decades demonstrate they typically do), or if they diverged in statistically unlikely ways.

Seth Keshel County Trend Map for Maryland

Chart legend: Red = Rampant Fraud, Yellow = Likely/Suspect, Green = Clean

Seth Keshel County Trends for Maryland

Trump votes Biden votes Other votes
Officially reported results 976414 (32.15%) 1985023 (65.36%) 75623 (2.49%)
Estimate of potential fraud 128000 (4.2%)
Estimate of actual result
(with fraud removed)
976414 (33.6%) 1857023 (63.8%) 75623 (2.6%)

For a state overwhelmingly favoring Biden, there is a startling amount of excess Dem votes, including in overwhelmingly Republican territory. I have met with MD integrity group previously and the numbers in Carroll and Harford are eye-popping. Frederick went from 3 point Trump win to 10 point loss, with a Trump gain in votes. Anne Arundel is +44k over 2016 for Biden at a massive record, with a modest Trump gain.

Statewide, Obama (x2) and Clinton were all in 1.6mm range. Biden is up ~300k, with little explanation and solid GOP trends away from the massive Dem strongholds that crush the GOP in the south. Estimate 128k heavy for Biden, at lenient estimate.

Baltimore City trended clean. Doesn’t mean no fraud, just a clean trend.

Best Trump county audit targets – Harford (12k), Carroll (8k).

If Biden is 128k heavy, margin would be 63.8% to 33.6%, or 881k votes.

Seth also discusses the Maryland findings on the Steel Truth podcast, July 27, 2021.



Seth Keshel’s estimates are based on the percentage of voters who are registered to each party (where it’s possible to obtain this information) compared to the actual votes for each party. He examined these party trends over the last two decades, as well as population growth, which brought to light the strange and statistically unlikely outliers and anomalies that occurred in 2020. We explain this process, step by step, with visual examples, in our guide How to Predict Election Results Using Registration Data, so that you can investigate the numbers for yourself.

Raw Data

We aim to publish links to both the raw election data and voter registration data for Maryland so that citizens and researchers can analyze this information for themselves.

Show Raw Data Links

Other Reports

Get Involved

Volunteers are needed to help verify the irregularities found. One key way this is done is through voter canvassing, with teams analyzing the county and state records and voter rolls, and others going door-to-door to identify whether the records match the actual residents living at the address.

Learn more about Canvassing Volunteer in Your State

Election Audit Groups on Telegram

To join the grassroots efforts in pursuing election integrity and audits of the 2020 election in Maryland, you can join the following groups on Telegram:

For other states, see our Full List of Telegram Channels. and Seth Keshel have no affiliation with nor any responsibility for these channels. Discern carefully, as some users and even admins of channels have shown obstruction to transparent audits of our elections.

Visitor Comments

Show Comments