See also the main article on Florida, for documented election integrity issues and further reports.
Former US military intelligence officer and statistical analyst Seth Keshel analyzed the trends of voter registrations versus actual votes. The following report indicates which counties’ vote counts align with the trend in voter registrations and which have small or large divergences. Each county is flagged as red, yellow, or green, based on whether the 2020 vote totals aligned with the expected trends (as past decades demonstrate they typically do), or if they diverged in statistically unlikely ways.
| Trump votes | Biden votes | Other votes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Officially reported results | 5668731 (51.22%) | 5297045 (47.86%) | 101824 (0.92%) |
| Estimate of potential fraud | 296000 (2.7%) | ||
| Estimate of actual result
(with fraud removed) |
5668731 (52.6%) | 5001045 (46.4%) | 101824 (0.9%) |
Summary
Trump is up a staggering 1,040,000 votes from 2016, more than double his gain over Romney.
Biden is up 792k, a Democrat record in Florida as the state drifts further right.
Bottom Line: Biden appears at least 296k votes heavy based on registration trends and historical data tracking with population increases. If accurate, counting only excess votes, Trump’s margin is FL is more accurately represented at 52.6% to 46.4%, or a 6.2% margin of victory, and margin of 667k votes.
Does that seem too high? It shouldn’t – these are typical margins for someone like Marco Rubio, who gets Trumpian numbers with Cuban and Venezuelan voters and pours it on in the red counties.
Best targets for audits: Lake, Pasco, Santa Rosa, Volusia, Walton.
Source: Telegram post
Stats By County
Source: Telegram post
Top 100 Worst Counties
Seth has listed Florida’s Brevard, Hillsborough, Lake, Pasco, and Volusia counties as being among the Nation’s Top 100 Worst Counties in terms of abnormal trends during the 2020 election.
Broward County
Collier County
Duval County
The following PDF shows a map of which precincts in the county had the most abnormal results in 2020:
Hillsborough County (Tampa)
Source: Telegram post
Lake County
According to Seth, Lake County, Florida, is showing some movement towards an audit of the election. See his Telegram post from Aug 31, 2021.
Marion County
Nassau County
Palm Beach County
Source: Telegram post, Oct 2, 2021
Polk County
Pasco, Volusia, and Lake Counties
Source: Telegram post, Oct 2, 2021
Volusia County
Seth’s Predictions vs Actual Results
Possible Voter Roll Manipulation
A number of states, both key competitive states, and not, have machined/trimmed/manipulated their voter rolls for the desired outcomes. See New Hampshire, Alaska, California, and Arizona.
There are other states with bloated rolls, like Florida and Texas. Colorado doesn’t show much movement in the two parties but tons of new registered indies/others, along with Washington and Oregon. Pennsylvania and North Carolina appear to have let their party rolls run clean, showing a tremendous beating getting ready to be done by Trump, but pulled things off differently.
Phantoms.
Source: https://t.me/ElectionHQ2024/788
Further Updates
Methodology
Seth Keshel’s estimates are based on the percentage of voters who are registered to each party (where it’s possible to obtain this information) compared to the actual votes for each party. He examined these party trends over the last two decades, as well as population growth, which brought to light the strange and statistically unlikely outliers and anomalies that occurred in 2020. We explain this process, step by step, with visual examples, in our guide How to Predict Election Results Using Registration Data, so that you can investigate the numbers for yourself.
This video from Telegram also explains some of Seth’s approach to analyzing precincts.
Raw Data
We aim to publish links to both the raw election data and voter registration data for Florida so that citizens and researchers can analyze this information for themselves.
Other Reports
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A team of scientists from Election-Integrity.info produced the following reports:
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“2020 Presidential Election Startling Vote Spikes” which includes a section on Florida
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“2020 Presidential Election Contrast Analysis” which includes a section on Florida
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Election Audit Groups on Telegram
Further updates from Seth Keshel can be found on his Telegram Channel @ElectionHQ2024.
To join the grassroots efforts in pursuing election integrity and audits of the 2020 election in Florida, you can join the following groups on Telegram:
- Defend Florida Community Canvassing
- Defend Florida (Website)
- Florida Election Integrity
- FloridaFirstChat
- Florida For America (Website)
For other states, see our Full List of Telegram Channels.
ElectionFraud20.org and Seth Keshel have no affiliation with nor any responsibility for these channels. Discern carefully, as some users and even admins of channels have shown obstruction to transparent audits of our elections.